Domestic two-wheeler volume to shrink 1-4 pc YoY this fiscal: ICRA

Mumbai: Domestic two-wheeler (2W) volume is expected to shrink by 1-4 per cent year-on-year this fiscal, impacted by relentless increase in 2W prices as well as record high petrol cost, among others, credit ratings agency ICRA has said.

Further, ICRA said that the lacklustre festive season performance also highlights the continued wariness among the low-income population regarding big-ticket purchases.

ICRA Ratings expects domestic two-wheeler volumes to contract by 1-4 per cent YoY in FY2022, following a weak festive season performance for the industry.

Also, the sales of 8.05 million twowheelers in the domestic market in April-October period of FY2022 are flattish on a YoY basis despite a severely contracted base, it stated.

The relentless increase in 2W prices during the year and record-high petrol rates have kept consumers away from dealerships, according to the credit ratings agency. Additionally, the financiers have remained cautious, after witnessing an increase in delinquency levels.

While the demand for premium two-wheelers, which comprise around 15 per cent of domestic volumes, is better, the OEMs have faced supply constraints due to semi-conductor chip shortages, ICRA said, adding, overall, given the existing inventory at dealerships post-festive season (40-45 days), high growth in wholesale dispatches in the remaining part of the fiscal is unlikely.

The entry-segment (75-110cc), which dominates two-wheeler sales in India, has remained subdued this year, reflecting extensive (and extended) impact of the second wave of the pandemic. The lacklustre festive season performance also highlighted continued wariness among the low-income population regarding big-ticket purchases, said Rohan Kanwar Gupta, Vice President and Sector Head for Corporate Ratings at ICRA.

Income uncertainties, caused by job losses, salary cuts or limited increments, while facing Covid-related medical expenses (actual or anticipated) and skyrocketing cost of twowheeler ownership, have led to purchase deferrals this festive season, he said.

Given the muted sales, the inventory at dealerships is also relatively high, which could mean only a marginal, if any, traction in wholesale volumes in remaining FY2022, added Gupta.

According to ICRA, the rural offtake has lagged urban, possibly due to moderated agri-sentiments. In the urban markets, the delay in reopening of schools and colleges, weak income sentiments due to job losses or salary cuts (in the aftermath of the pandemic) and extended work-from-home policies by corporates, have impacted sales, it added. It noted that the recent cut in petrol prices and upcoming wedding season could lend themselves to an increase in two-wheeler purchases in rural markets. -(PTI)